Democrats have an advantage in 2020, but it may not win them the White House

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Democrats have an advantage in 2020, but it may not win them the White House
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The country's demographics are shifting in such a way that the Democratic base is growing, but that's not necessarily good news for the party's chances of seizing back the White House next year.

White people are making up a smaller and smaller share of the electorate and, as they tend to vote Republican, that would seem like cause for celebration for Democrats. But Gary Langer, a public opinion researcher and founder of Langer Research Associates, wrote in his paper "Blue Waves and White Bubbles" that Democrats are becoming so geographically clustered that they will still face a challenge beating President Donald Trump in the Electoral College.

In 2000, white people had dipped down to 82%, continually decreasing until 2018 when only 72% of the electorate was made up of white people, Langer said.Read MoreThe 2018 midterm elections saw more than half of US citizens vote, up 12 percentage points from the last midterm election, to a historic 53% turnout, according to the US Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. All that data shows groups that actively dislike and plan to vote against Trump are growing as a share of the electorate.

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