Although Republicans overall look to be favored to take back power, recent polls show mixed results.
that one or both Congressional chambers are likely to flip to Republican control. Last June, the University of Virginia's Center for Politics released an analysis of midterm elections going back to 1946. That report showed that a president in power, on average, loses more than 26 House seats during the midterms. The largest loss has been 64 seats, while the largest gain has been just eight seats.
The analysis showed similar results in the Senate. Since 1946, on average, the president's party has lost more than three seats during the midterms. The biggest loss has been 13 seats, while the largest gain has been just four seats. Recent polling shows such a shift is definitely possible, if not likely.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi aims to keep Democrats in control of Congress during the November midterm election, but GOP House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is confident he will lead Republicans to victory. Above, McCarthy stands with Pelosi before she is sworn in as House Speaker in during the first session of the 116th Congress at the U.S. Capitol January 3, 2019 in Washington, D.C.
An additional 2 percent said they'd vote for other candidates and 6 percent said they'd support neither Democrats or Republicans. The survey interviewed 800 respondents with a sampling margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level.
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