As COVID cases decline in the U.S., experts told Newsweek the future is unpredictable.
Srini Venkatramanan is a research assistant professor at the Network Systems Science and Advanced Computing division at the University of Virginia, which runs a COVID surveillance dashboard. He and his team build statistical models that track the trajectory of epidemics to make short- and medium-term forecasts.that from the latest set of updates, short-term forecasts are pointed downwards,"hinting that we may have peaked as far as the Delta wave is concerned, at the national scale.
"Similarly, we participate in a multi-model effort where our recent projections focused on the impact of childhood vaccinations. Even in that setting, the ensemble model indicates a downward trend for the current wave." "Our own projections have fairly consistently projected a peak around the last week of August/first week of September for the U.S. nationally," he said."This appears to have occurred."
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