If the Covid-19 infection trajectory follows previous patterns, South Africa may have a sixth wave in the next few weeks. | TebogoMonama
Professor Barry Schoub, a virologist, says the next wave may happen in September or October. We just don't know when the next wave will be. If we go by the previous cycles, the next wave always happens after about three months. The last wave was in June, so, going by that, the next wave should be in October.
In the past week, Gauteng reported the highest weekly incidence risk, with 3.6 cases per 100 000 people. It was followed by the Western Cape, with 2.4 cases per 100 000 people. "Free State, KwaZulu-Natal and Northern Cape reported a slight increase in the weekly incidence, ranging from a 0.1 to 0.4 increase in cases per 100 000 persons, respectively," the NICD said.The probability will be mild because we are used to the virus. It's a bit of a guess.
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