COVID-19 is circulating at relatively high levels in Colorado right now, but what might happen next is anyone’s guess.
As of Wednesday, the number of new cases and the percentage of tests coming back positive appeared to be leveling off, though hospitalizations rose again this week. It’s too early to say if those are true trends, though, and the presence of still more versions of omicron in the state could push the numbers up again.
Since more people are using at-home tests, it’s hard to get an accurate count of cases, but all the data suggests the virus is widespread, she said.The positivity rate, which is typically the first measure to signal change when the virus is taking a different trajectory, has plateaued in the last few days, with the seven-day average hovering around 9.2%. It’s too early to know if that’s a sign of things to come, though, Carlton said.
Hospitalizations also rose again. The state health department reported 166 people hospitalized statewide with COVID-19 as of Tuesday, up from 144 a week earlier. Hospitalizations typically lag behind the positivity rate and cases, so any change would take a few weeks to show up. Nationwide, cases appear to be plateauing, but that conceals regional variation. New infections seem to be falling in the Northeast, but rising in parts of the South,It’s more difficult to forecast what the virus might do now because of uncertainty about both the BA.2.12.1 variant — which took over as thethis week — and the BA.4 and BA.5 variants, which limited data suggests may be able to outcompete BA.2.12.1, Carlton said. Data from the United Kingdom suggests BA.4 and BA.
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