PARIS, March 18 — Sharon Lewin, director of The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity in Melbourne and a top expert on infectious disease policy, spoke with AFP about the unfolding coronavirus pandemic. Countries that got caught off-guard or did not respond to the outbreak decisively...
People are seen wearing face masks to protect themselves against the new coronavirus in Kuala Lumpur March 15, 2020. ― Picture by Shafwan Zaidon
Compare that with Chinese provinces outside of Wuhan , where the mortality rate dropped to between 1 and 2 per cent. Same virus, same population, a similar age distribution. Conclusion? The difference is related to the severity of the infection when you “present,” or take action. I give full marks to Singapore and Hong Kong, which moved much earlier. From a policy standpoint, that is much, much less acceptable to the public because the threat is hardly visible. But once you have deaths, escalating cases, and people can't get into hospitals, the public cries out for interventions.
Lockdown works. As soon as Wuhan locked down, two weeks later — exactly the incubation period of the virus — numbers of infections started to decrease. But the question is whether you have to go that far.
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