CNN Data Reporter Pinpoints Historical Polling Detail That May Doom Donald Trump

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CNN Data Reporter Pinpoints Historical Polling Detail That May Doom Donald Trump
2024 ElectionsHarry Enten
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“I went back and checked out whether or not a party outran the polls three presidential election cycles in a row in the key battleground states,” Enten said. “It’s never happened. It’s never happened. Zero times. Zero times since 1972.”“So, if the polls are going to underestimate Donald Trump once again, that would be historically unprecedented,” he continued.

Some people would argue the former president “himself is historically unprecedented,” Enten acknowledged, adding, though, that pollsters typically catch on that they’re not “taking into account some part of the electorate” and make an adjustment to their predictions.Thank you for your past contribution to HuffPost. We are sincerely grateful for readers like you who help us ensure that we can keep our journalism free for everyone.

The stakes are high this year, and our 2024 coverage could use continued support. Would you consider becoming a regular HuffPost contributor? Thank you for your past contribution to HuffPost. We are sincerely grateful for readers like you who help us ensure that we can keep our journalism free for everyone.

The stakes are high this year, and our 2024 coverage could use continued support. We hope you'll consider contributing to HuffPost once more.“I think that helps to explain why we have never seen that the same party has been underestimated three times in a row in presidential elections, at least over the last 52 years,” Enten theorized.

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