Jamie Chisholm is a markets reporter based in London.
European bourses rallied hard Tuesday, as Deutsche Bank recommended closing its hedge on equity exposure and going overweight stocks.
London-listed resources groups and China-sensitive German auto and engineering companies led the advance as sentiment was also lifted by reports Beijing was considering increasing its budget deficit to undertake a new stimulus for the world’s second-biggest economy. For example, the economic environment is improving, with eurozone purchasing manager surveys, which had declined for five months in a row, recently taking a turn for the better. Also, softer China growth is already factored in, Uleer noted, and even a mild U.S. recession “is widely anticipated by markets and would most likely have a limited impact on markets.”
In addition, expectations of earnings are “sufficiently negative.” After heavy downward revisions, forecasts now seem more realistic for this year and, with consensus growth of just 3%, potentially too negative for 2024. Uleer said he earnings growth next year of 5%.
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