Hotter, thinner air that allows balls to fly farther contributed a tiny bit to a surge in home runs since 2010, according to a statistical analysis by Dartmouth College scientists.
Veteran baseball players and executives said the research fits with what they’ve seen on the field.
The Dartmouth team found the climate homer effect varied by field, too. Chicago's Wrigley Field, which still hosts a lot of day games, has the most warming-homer friendly confines. The statistical analysis found no significant heat-aided homers at Tampa's Tropicana Field, the only full-time domed stadium in Major League Baseball.
“Obviously I'm not a fan in any way as a pitcher,” Suter said with a laugh. “500 seems a lot, but I could believe it.” How many extra homers depends on how hot it gets, which depends on how much greenhouse gas the world spews from the burning of coal, oil and gas. Callahan ran different scenarios of carbon pollution through computer simulations.
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