Canada's RBC reiterates forecast for moderate recession after profit beat

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Canada's RBC reiterates forecast for moderate recession after profit beat
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Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) said on Wednesday it expected a softer landing for the economy, but the country's largest lender reiterated its forecast of a moderate recession this year after setting aside bigger provisions for potential bad loans.

RBC, which has a large capital markets business in Canada, also saw its results receive a boost from a surge in fixed income trading activity, which cushioned the hit from lower revenues from corporate and investment banking.Shares of RBC were down 2.5% at C$135.14 while National Bank shares were up 2.4% at C$102.62.

"While underlying results were solid, we are concerned that it may not be enough to offset concerns on the outlook for further deterioration in credit," Barclays analyst John Aiken said in a note. The ongoing economic uncertainty, lack of easy money and volatile markets have, however, bolstered demand for loans, both among individuals and businesses.

But banks are also preparing for more of such borrowers to fall behind on loan repayments. RBC's provisions for bad loans jumped five-fold to C$532 million , while National Bank set aside C$86 million provisions, compared with a release of C$2 million last year.On an adjusted basis, RBC earned C$3.10 per share for the quarter ended Jan. 31, ahead of analysts' average estimate of C$2.93 per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

National Bank's adjusted profit of C$2.56 per share also handily beat expectations of C$2.37 per share.

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