Republicans were in a sweet spot ahead of November’s U.S. elections. A leaked Supreme Court opinion on abortion, though, changes the calculus, writes GinaChon:
In his first year the sitting president has also failed to deliver on campaign promises, like hitting the rich. As well as failing to increase taxes on the wealthy and for corporations, he has even dropped low-hanging fruit, like scrapping the “carried interest” loophole that lowers private equity executives’ tax bills. Plans to help the middle class, such as childcare assistance, have fallen by the wayside too.
Social issues have created electoral surprises before. In 2004’s close presidential race, Republicans got a boost after 11 states drummed up ballot initiatives banning same-sex marriage, bringing out extra conservative voters in battlegrounds like Ohio. This year, again, social issues are likely to introduce a wild card. The economy still matters, but a little less than it did a week ago.
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