The United Nations warned Wednesday of a growing likelihood the weather phenomenon El Nino will develop in coming months, fueling higher global temperatures and possibly new heat records.
The UN’s World Meteorological Organization said it now estimated there was a 60-percent chance that El Nino would develop by the end of July, and an 80-percent chance it would do so by the end of September.
La Nina “acted as a temporary brake on global temperature increase,” WMO chief Petteri Taalas said in a statement.The expected arrival of the warming climate pattern, he said, “will most likely lead to a new spike in global heating and increase the chance of breaking temperature records.”The last one was considered very weak, but the one before that, between 2014 and 2016, was considered among the strongest ever, with dire consequences.
“We are expecting in the coming two years to have a serious increase in the global temperatures,” Okia said.Taalas highlighted that the expected arrival of El Nino could have some positive effects, pointing out that it “might bring respite from the drought in the Horn of Africa and other La Nina-related impacts”.
Increased rainfall is usually seen in parts of southern South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and central Asia, while severe droughts can occur over Australia, Indonesia and parts of southern Asia.
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