Historical presidential approval ratings show the Democrats are likely to face a landslide this cycle. But are they really?
History, however, is not so optimistic.in national preference polling, Biden's approval ratings have so far failed to fully recover from the depths to which they'd plunged in mid-July, while more than half the national electorate continues to disapprove of his job performance.
President Joe Biden speaks briefly to the press as he walks to Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House on October 3 in Washington, D.C. Though Democrats now lead Republicans in national preference polling, Biden's approval ratings have so far failed to fully recover from the depths to which they'd plunged in mid-July.carried a similar level of baggage in the middle of his first term, with disapproval ratings closely matching those exhibited by Biden and Trump.
But an approval rating can be a deceptive measure of a party's likely performance. Before a 2010 midterm election in which Democrats lost 63 seats in the House—the party's worst backslide since the Great Depression—then-President's approval rating one month before the election was just 2 points less than his disapproval rating, according to Gallup polling at the time.
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