Bank of America strategist becomes latest on Wall Street to raise S&P 500 target

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Bank of America strategist becomes latest on Wall Street to raise S&P 500 target
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A top stock-market strategist at Bank of America expects deeply liquid large-cap benchmark to climb roughly 3.5%.

A top stock-market strategist at Bank of America has raised her year-end target for the S&P 500 for the second time this year, calling for the deeply liquid large-cap benchmark to climb roughly 3.5%, to 4,600.

Her call came with one important caveat: She urged BofA’s clients to express their bullish view on stocks by buying the equal-weighted S&P 500 SPX, not the traditional cap-weighted index. Historically, the equal-weighted index typically outperforms during economic-recovery cycles, which Subramanian says the U.S. is now in.

The S&P 500 has risen 16.2% since the start of 2023, compared with a 4.1% gain for the equal-weighted index. However, Subramanian said, the more favorable valuation could help drive considerable outperformance for the equal-weighted index, with implied annualized returns beating the traditional S&P 500 by 5 percentage points over the next decade.

Subramanian previously raised her year-tend target to 4,300 from 4,000 back in May, just as stocks were breaking higher. A streak of stock-market weakness in August prompted some on Wall Street to reconsider lofty year-end targets after macro strategists played catch-up to the market by hiking targets earlier in the summer.

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