The window to turn bearish on stocks could open as soon as a month after these conditions are met, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
A burst of inflows into equity exchange-traded funds last week was a sign that the lengthy bull market remains resilient, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
For much of the first quarter, it seemed like many investors lacked confidence in the stock market's rally, judging from where they put their money. But don't count on investors to keep piling up their gains indefinitely. In fact, emerging-market debt and equities have become the most crowded places for investors to put their cash to work, according to Hartnett. Developing markets outside the US have become aof choice for investors looking for stocks with cheaper relative valuations, in countries that have lagged the US and could be poised for their own breakouts.
They're anchored on BofAML's Bull & Bear Indicator, which gauges where investor sentiment lies on a scale of 0 to 10. It's a contrarian indicator, meaning it sends a sell signal when investors are extremely bullish, or when it crosses 8 on the scale. If BofAML's fund-manager survey shows cash levels of less than 4.5% and equity allocation up from 6% to more than 30%.
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