The model predicts by Sept. 15 Alberta will see more approximately 4,000 daily cases of COVID\u002D19 in unvaccinated people alone.
“What we see is a fairly large fourth wave in Alberta, which is probably similar to other parts of Canada,” said Caroline Colijn, a mathematics professor at Simon Fraser University who helped develop the projections with the B.C. COVID-19 Modelling Group. The independent group of academics has developed modelling throughout the pandemic.
As of Friday, 65.2 per cent of all Albertans have at least one shot of vaccine, and 57.4 per cent are fully immunized. That means more than 1.5 million Albertans have yet to receive a single shot, including about 660,000 children under the age of 12, who are not yet eligible for the jab. “The risk is way lower, but it’s not zero. It’s more like one-in-200 kids with COVID who have needed hospital care. And if you have many thousands of infections, you will still see a good number of hospitalizations,” Colijn said.
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