There is no precedent for building a submarine hull in one country, installing another country’s technology and assembling it in a third which has no nuclear expertise.
There is no expectation of delivery in the 2040s. The 10,000 jobs promised by our prime minister are double-counted with the 7000 promised by Boris Johnson for Barrow-in-Furness.As the naive overreach shrinks, we could be waiting through the 2050s for the AUKUS sub, billions squeezed out of the army, surface vessels and air force to get even that far. Painful to reflect, the forgone French conventional subs might have been entering service in the 2030s, cost-effective and lethal.
The fallback position of the three AUKUS partners is easy to guess: Australia ends up hosting US and UK subs, nuclear-armed and forward-deployed here. This will, incidentally, confirm Lowy researcher Sam Roggeveen’s description of Australia becoming a US military stronghold, offering targets to China if war comesWe would provide crews to supplement those of the UK and US vessels but forgo the independent submarine capability we enjoyed since taking our first Oberon class boat in 1963.Cut through the noise of federal politics with news, views and expert analysis.
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