In their annual special report, Sky News Australia meteorologists Rob Sharpe, Alison Osborne and Bradlyn Oakes have warned of scorching heat, bushfires and drought between now and April as the nation prepares for what is likely to be one of its hottest severe weather seasons on record.
Australia typically experiences its most dangerous weather conditions in the spring and summer months, but the aligning of two major climate drivers – a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and an El Nino in the Pacific - for the first time in eight years should ensure the next three to six months is significantly drier than normal across most of the country.
Spring and summer temperatures across the country are likely to be within the top three in terms of records going back to 1910, with a significant chance to become number one. When we look at our capitals, Sydney, Brisbane and Darwin are most likely to exceed their normal temperatures. Even in September, a rare heatwave warning was issued by the Bureau of Meteorology for areas of southern NSW.During this El Nino, we can expect a greater risk of late spring/early summer heatwaves in central, northern and eastern Australia, but less of a chance in the south.
In the New Year, northern Australia's wet season will play a role in rainfall, but we are expecting it to be delayed due to our climate drivers. The drier outlook is likely to reduce water storages and flows, but not to the levels seen in 2019 and 2020. This is already something we've seen to start spring, with the far south coast of NSW having a day of catastrophic fire danger declared in September.Heading into this severe weather season, make sure that you have your bushfire plan ready to go and all members of your family and household are aware of the plan and know what to do if a fire develops in your area.Rainfall was lower than average across southern, eastern and western Australia between January and August of this year.
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