KUALA LUMPUR, June 14 — The 15th general election last November might have seen Umno’s worst-ever performance in its history — but this didn’t happen overnight. In...
Wednesday, 14 Jun 2023 7:00 AM MYT
That year was the first time since the 1969 general election that Barisan Nasional did not win a two-thirds majority in Parliament. “Will PN return to power? That depends on how PN builds a coalition with GRS and GPS . PN on its own cannot win enough seats to form the federal government,” she said. As for Umno, Azmi said that its popular vote has been on the decline since 2008. — Picture by Shafwan ZaidonWeighing in, Nusantara Academy for Strategic Research senior fellow Azmi Hassan said that while the popular vote is not the only benchmark by which a party’s popularity is measured, it can offer some indication of a party’s wellbeing.“In 2004, Umno had 64 per cent of the popular vote, but it decreased to 55 per cent in 2008, 53 per cent in 2013, and a low of 39 per cent in 2018.
“This indicates that not only Umno, but also other political parties, including the other two coalitions, which is PH and PN, need some sort of help, some sort of coalition after a general election to form the federal government,” he added. “But Umno is at its weakest point right now. There are some doubts whether Umno can attract Malay votes, especially with PAS and Bersatu in the picture. A weak Umno will affect PH and also the unity government negatively in the state elections or even the 16th general election.
“For example, party president Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi does not need to actively head the party machinery in the six state polls. He could hand it over to his deputy,” Tawfik said when contacted. “For example, Bandar Baharu, which is represented by Umno, is under the Kulim Bandar-Baharu parliamentary seat, which was won by PN in GE15. The Sungai Panjang state seat in the Sungai Besar parliamentary constituency was also won by PN in GE15.
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