Analysis: What China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea means — and what comes next
Subi Reef in the South China Sea, seen from a Philippine air force plane on April 21, 2017. By Jessica Chen Weiss May 30 at 6:00 AM On Wednesday, General Joseph F. Dunford Jr., chairman of the Pentagon’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, remarked that despite assurances that there would be no moves to militarize the South China Sea, China had built “10,000-foot runways, ammunition storage facilities” — and routinely deployed aviation and missile defense capabilities. U.S.
Andrew S. Erickson and Ryan D. Martinson: While tariff disputes dominate world news, territorial disputes in the South China Sea remain a key flash point in U.S.-China relations. Beijing maintains a claim to all of the space within a “dashed line” enclosing most of the South China Sea — including hundreds of tiny islands and reefs.
The most significant recent development is China’s construction of enormous new facilities on the seven features that it occupies in the Spratly Archipelago. A few years ago, these were tiny outposts with zero combat power — with perhaps a few dozen soldiers who could barely keep their feet dry. Since 2013, China has transformed them into gigantic bases, some with air stations able to accommodate advanced fighters and bombers.
ASE/RDM: The U.S. Navy recognizes that China has not one but three sea forces, which act increasingly in coordination. Within that division of labor, China’s navy has sought prestigious engagement and substantive learning opportunities with the U.S. Navy as Beijing’s “good cop” at sea, while China’s coast guard and maritime militia “bad cops” bully its neighbors over disputed features and waters and harass the U.S. Navy’s own ships.
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