ANALYSIS: Protests in Nigeria, Kenya, other African countries – coincidence, correction or contagion?

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ANALYSIS: Protests in Nigeria, Kenya, other African countries – coincidence, correction or contagion?
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In a new era of political activism and change, Africa’s youth are no longer content to sit on the sidelines.

INVESTIGATION: How Nigeria can resolve its multi trillion naira post-harvest losses INVESTIGATION: Poverty, shambolic education system keeping children out of school in Niger StateSPECIAL REPORT: In Northwest Nigeria, insecurity is fueling medical desertsHow police killed, injured protesters during #EndBadGovernance protests in Niger StateINVESTIGATION: The real reasons for Nigeria’s massive post-harvest losses amid food crisis INVESTIGATION: Inside Nigeria’s large-scale post-harvest losses...

It’s essential to acknowledge that news production incurs expenses, and we take pride in never placing our stories behind a prohibitive paywall.A succession of crises has led to a distinct lack of optimism. After the Global Financial Crisis, the positive ‘Africa Rising’ narrative took hold, fuelled by cheap Eurobonds, a returning diaspora, high growth and investment, and Africa’s first football World Cup in 2010. Millennials and Gen X in Africa believed their lives would materially improve.

Zimbabwe is also ripe for unrest. Throughout June and July, activists sought to mobilise anti-government demonstrations to coincide with the 17 August Southern African Development Community summit to pressure political and economic reform by the Mnangagwa administration. In a pre-emptive crackdown, the governmentagainst the new Constitution promulgated in May, which potentially guarantees President Faure Gnassingbé indefinite rule.

Strongman regimes like in Ethiopia, Uganda, Zimbabwe and Togo will probably muscle their way through such volatility using the stick and giving the public few concessions. The same cannot be said for the likes of Kenya, Tanzania and Nigeria, which will be forced to appease aggrieved masses. Governments clinging to survive could backpedal on fiscal reforms as a trade-off for political stability. Reshuffles may also become more frequent as a signal of political change.

Ronak Gopaldas, Institute for Security Studies Consultant and Signal Risk Director and Menzi Ndhlovu, Signal Risk Senior Country and Political Risk AnalystAt Premium Times, we firmly believe in the importance of high-quality journalism. Recognizing that not everyone can afford costly news subscriptions, we are dedicated to delivering meticulously researched, fact-checked news that remains freely accessible to all.

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