Analysis: How each 2020 Democratic presidential candidate could win
Twenty-four 2020 Democratic presidential candidates are seen in a combination from file photos : U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, Kirsten Gillibrand, Michael Bennet and former U.S. Senator Mike Gravel. : Former congressman Beto O'Rourke, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, former congressman John Delaney, Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, former HUD Secretary Julian Castro and former Vice President Joe Biden.
Sen. Bernie Sanders : Biden falters, Sanders prevents Sen. Elizabeth Warren from eating into his base, and Democrats decide they don’t need to compromise to defeat Trump. Oh, and Sanders somehow figures out a way to appeal to nonwhite voters, whom he struggled mightily to win in 2016. Former congressman Beto O’Rourke : He figures out exactly what his campaign is about and recaptures some of the magic of his underdog 2018 campaign against Sen. Ted Cruz.
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee: Democratic voters decide climate change the existential and immediate crisis that the Washington governor and others say it is, and want the candidate most focused on that issue. They are also looking for someone with experience as a governor . Former Housing and Urban Development secretary Julián Castro: If Latino voters unite behind him in key early states like Nevada and California, and he can take advantage. Hispanics were 19 percent of the Nevada caucus vote in 2016 — and could be a much greater percentage in a 29 percent Hispanic state — and 30 percent of California’s vote in 2008, the last year for which exit polls are available in that state’s Democratic primary.
Rep. Tim Ryan : People who were pining for Sen. Sherrod Brown to run line up behind another Ohio Democrat trying to offer a similar message. Oh, and the “yoga vote” turns out strong.
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