Analysis: Here is the 20-1 long shot that could win the Kentucky Derby
for Kentucky Derby winners — and the final furlong in 13 seconds flat, also a qualifying number under that theory. That’s not bad, considering races over sloppy tracks tend to run slower than those on fast dirt.However, in my opinion his performance in the Lecomte Stakes was his best to date. He earned a career-best pace figure to both the first call at one-half mile and the second call at three-quarters of a mile, with both figures significantly above par for the upcoming Derby.
In addition to having speed, of course, a winning Kentucky Derby horse needs stamina to carry it for 10 furlongs. Because all of these horses are going 1¼ miles for the first time, the only way to attempt to gauge how suited they are for the distance is to look at their pedigrees, and Confidence Game has solid breeding throughout.His sire, Candy Ride, went undefeated in six starts on both turf and dirt — and set a track record in the 1¼-mile Grade I Pacific Classic Stakes in 2003.
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