Since invading Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has been unable to prove its military superiority. DW's radioroman_bonn looks back at some of the widely held assumptions at the start of the war and how things have evolved from there.
has not directly admitted to it, in early December he seemed to be preparing his country for a long war.Several expectations did not materialize after the February invasion. It was thought that Russia would quickly gain air sovereignty by eliminating both the Ukrainian Air Force and air defenses, an assumption that may have been based on previous observations in eastern Ukraine.
Ukrainian sources have said Russia has lost hundreds of aircraft and helicopters since the war began. Though these claims cannot be independently confirmed, Western intelligence services also point to significant losses for the Russian Air Force, which is operating on a limited basis at the front lines and no longer venturing deep into Ukraine's interior.
In fact, Russia's Black Sea fleet has so far proved to be one of the biggest losers in the war. The flagship cruiserwas damaged by Ukrainian missiles in April and later sank. A month earlier, the landing ship Saratov also sank after it was hit by a Ukrainian missile in the port of Berdyansk in the Sea of Azov.
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