A new study from AAA predicts that ADAS technologies could prevent 37 million crashes, 14 million injuries, and 250,000 lives by 2053
suggest that ADAS have the potential to transform road safety,” said Dr. David Yang, president and executive director of the AAA Foundation. “However, the full safety benefits of ADAS will not be realized unless they are fully understood by the consumer, used properly, and widely adopted.”
To reach those findings, researchers first had to forecast crashes, injuries, and deaths on American roads for the next 30 years. It used data from 2017-2019 to predict future road safety, which it admits does not account for changes in road conditions that are unrelated to ADAS technologies. Then, the team had to develop a model to predict how likely active safety systems are to prevent a crash. That required them to look at the probability of each vehicle possessing, the chance that it would be in use, how likely the technology is to actually prevent a crash, and much more.
Each factor is influenced by an array of other complications, but the team tried to look at existing research on ADAS technology to come to its conclusions. While AAA admits that there are limitations to the study, it’s clear that the technology will benefit American drivers’ safety, even if it can’t prevent every accident that is likely to occur.
“The future for ADAS is bright, but it’s not a cure-all,” said Jake Nelson, AAA’s director of traffic safety advocacy. “While these technologies offer substantial safety benefits, we cannot engineer our way out of traffic injuries and deaths on U.S. roads. Investments in a diversity of proven traffic safety measures, including but not limited to vehicle technology, is in order.”
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