Commodities Analysis by Gary Tanashian covering: XAU/USD, XAG/USD, S&P 500, US Dollar Index Futures. Read Gary Tanashian's latest article on Investing.com
Without digging up too much theory and analysis from the past, let’s simply note that gold has more counter-cyclical character than most any other asset other than Treasury bonds and the
Next up in the liquidity refuge sweepstakes? Why, it’s the heavy lump of value that goes nowhere, does nothing other than retains its status through boom and bust economic/market cycles. Gold tends to be a measure of collective investors’ confidence, or lack thereof. Today we are in the ramp up process of a “lack thereof” phase, as gold’s ratios to cyclical markets clearly show.Today the handle off of the right side shoulder is breaking upward.
I continue to claim that age ended with 2022’s spike upward in Treasury yields. That bond market rebellion has changed the macro dynamics in play and in my strong opinion, will hog tie the Fed from business as usual on the upcoming downturn. That, in turn, will be the proper “post-bubble” gold mining macro. And I am not only accounting for the current decline in Treasury yields, we expected it and planned for it.
Dog gone it, this article went further afield than originally intended. Sometimes that happens. Be ready not to think in a linear fashion. Be ready not to listen to the “experts” served up on mainstream platforms. Be ready to tune out the media, the promoters, the grifters, and know-it-alls.
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